Each year BEIS publishes updated energy projections (UEPs), analysing and projecting future energy use and greenhouse gas emissions in the UK. These projections allow us to monitor progress towards meeting the UK’s carbon budgets and are used to inform energy policy and associated analytical work across government departments.
The projections are based on assumptions of future economic growth, fossil fuel prices, electricity generation costs, UK population and other key variables regularly updated. They also give an indication of the impact of the uncertainty around some of these input assumptions.
Each set of projections takes account of climate change policies where funding has been agreed and where decisions on policy design are sufficiently advanced to allow robust estimates of policy impacts to be made.
Updated energy and emissions projections
Annual projections of greenhouse gas emissions and energy demand.
View previous projections and associated work on the National Archives website.
- Energy and emissions projections: Net Zero Strategy baseline (partial interim update December 2021)
- 7 December 2021
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2019
- 23 December 2020
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2018
- 16 May 2019
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2017
- 11 April 2019
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2016
- 15 March 2017
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2015
- 18 February 2016
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2014
- 29 October 2014
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2013
- 17 September 2013
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2012
- 15 October 2012
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2011
- 14 October 2011
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2010
- 9 June 2010
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2009
- 22 April 2009
- Research and analysis
- Updated energy and emissions projections: 2008
- 12 November 2008
- Research and analysis
Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections
Latest projections of non-CO2 greenhouse gases out to 2035.
If you are a specific user of the non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections could you please contact the following address with details of your requirements climatechange.statistics@beis.gov.uk.
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: summer 2015
- 14 August 2015
- Statistical data set
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: summer 2014
- 31 July 2014
- Official Statistics
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: Autumn 2013
- 13 September 2013
- Official Statistics
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: Spring 2013
- 15 March 2013
- Official Statistics
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: Autumn 2012
- 14 September 2012
- Research and analysis
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: spring 2012
- 15 May 2012
- Research and analysis
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: autumn 2011
- 15 September 2011
- Research and analysis
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: March 2011
- 15 March 2011
- Research and analysis
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: November 2010
- 12 November 2010
- Research and analysis
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report: June 2010
- 18 June 2010
- Research and analysis
- Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections report for the UK Low Carbon Transition Plan: July 2009
- 15 July 2009
- Research and analysis
Other documents
- Dynamic Dispatch Model (DDM) – May 2012
- 25 September 2014
- Research and analysis
Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
